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Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 delivered record quarterly performance with Gross Contract Revenue of $113.2M (+21.7% YoY), Net Service Billing of $98.6M (+22.5% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA of $17.0M (+51.8% YoY), and Diluted EPS of $0.33, aided by a $5.4M tax benefit; management said quarterly revenue and net revenue exceeded consensus, though SPGI detail was unavailable .
  • Backlog ended at a record $399M (+30% YoY), bookings remained strong into Q1 with >$100M new orders through early March; transportation and power/utilities strength offset softer pockets in wind and interest-rate–sensitive subsegments .
  • FY25 guidance was raised to Net Revenue $428–$440M and Adjusted EBITDA $70–$76M (from $422–$437M and $68–$75M), reflecting strong bookings and balance sheet capacity (revolver being upsized to $140M) .
  • Capital allocation remains balanced across M&A, tech investments, and buybacks; $34.4M repurchased in 2024, plus $4.1M post-year-end with ~$11M authorization remaining; management reiterated belief shares are undervalued near-term catalysts include bookings cadence, margin progression, and buybacks .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Margin/earnings inflection: Adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 17.2% (from 14.0% YoY) with Adjusted EPS (diluted) of $0.71 (vs $0.31), reflecting labor realignment, mix, and a $5.4M tax benefit .
    • Bookings/backlog: YE backlog reached $399M (+30% YoY); new orders topped $100M early in Q1, indicating continued demand across markets .
    • Strategic positioning: Geospatial (Surdex) expanded cross-sell and incumbency; active pipeline in data centers, grid capacity/resilience, oil & gas and mining; minimal federal disruption; IIJA spending supportive of transportation .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Interest-rate–sensitive submarkets: Prior quarters saw delays in converting awards to revenue (esp. transportation), and building infrastructure organic growth lagged earlier in 2024; improvement is underway but remains a watch item .
    • Tax/GAAP dynamics: Q4 GAAP earnings benefited from a sizable tax benefit ($5.4M) tied to R&D credits/stock vesting/UTP reversals; underlying trend is positive, but normalization is needed for run-rate EPS .
    • Segment mix noise: Emerging Markets growth and reclassification plans (breaking out aerial imaging/mapping in 2025) could complicate YoY comparability near term .

Financial Results

Revenue, EPS, margins vs prior quarters and prior year

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Gross Contract Revenue ($M)$104.5 $113.9 $113.2
Net Service Billing ($M)$94.0 $101.4 $98.6
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$(0.13) $0.04 $0.33
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$13.4 $17.0 $17.0
Adjusted EBITDA Margin, Net (%)14.3% 16.7% 17.2%
Net Income Margin (%)(2.0)% 0.7% 5.2%
Backlog ($M)$352 $380 $399
YoY Growth (Gross Contract Revenue)+26% +21% +21.7%
YoY Growth (Net Service Billing)+27% +23% +22.5%
YoY Growth (Adjusted EBITDA)+21% +13% +51.8%

Segment breakdown (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)

Segment (Gross Contract Revenue, $M)Q4 2023Q4 2024YoY %
Building Infrastructure$50.0 $54.0 +8.1%
Transportation$21.2 $27.5 +29.6%
Power & Utilities$16.7 $18.8 +12.7%
Emerging Markets$5.1 $12.9 +152.9%
Total$93.0 $113.2 +21.8%
Acquired Revenue$13.0 $14.1 +8.5%

Select KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Organic Net Service Billing Growth+10% (YTD) +8% (TTM) +9% (Q4)
Adjusted EPS (Diluted)$(0.03) $0.30 $0.71
Cash from Operations ($M)n/a$12.4 (9M) $11.9 (Q4)

Notes: Management indicated Q4 revenue and net revenue exceeded consensus; SPGI consensus detail was unavailable due to data access limits .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net RevenueFY 2025$422–$437M (Nov-2024) $428–$440M (Mar-2025) Raised
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025$68–$75M (Nov-2024) $70–$76M (Mar-2025) Raised

Assumptions: Guidance excludes contributions from future acquisitions not yet closed .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024 (Prior)Q3 2024 (Prior)Q4 2024 (Current)Trend
Bookings/BacklogBacklog +19% YoY; delays converting awards (transportation) Backlog +27% YoY; some big awards commenced; >$28M QoQ increase YE backlog $399M; >$100M new orders early Q1 Improving conversion; accelerating orders
Transportation/IIJASelections pending contracting/notice to proceed Several DOT awards underway; pipeline expanding IIJA spending supportive; broad strength; building infrastructure backlog dip seen as timing Positive momentum
Technology/GeospatialSurdex added aerial imaging; expanding mapping/LiDAR Continued cross-sell; methane detection opportunity New sensors, LiDAR+SONAR, AR/digital twins for utilities Expanding use-cases and upsell
Data Centers/AILand use assessments for DC sites Robust activity; targeting “inside the building” MEP Pursuing lifecycle DC work; power capacity as key constraint Growing exposure
R&D/TaxReversed UTP; cash/tax effects IRS timing allowed filing w/o $12M payment; disclosed $5.4M Q4 tax benefit (R&D credits/vesting/UTP) Favorable tax items in Q4
Capital Allocation$51M equity raise; new $100M revolver Buybacks continued; shares ~17.5M outstanding Revolver upsizing to $140M; $4.1M post-YE buybacks; ~$11M capacity Capacity to fund M&A and buybacks
Building InfrastructureOrganic lag amid rates; expecting rebound Improving activity; multifamily re-energizing DC-area exposure low-single-digits overall; manageable Stabilizing with pockets of strength
Energy/MiningRedeployed from wind; adding oil & gas skills Oil & gas and mining to see significant momentum Positive mix shift

Management Commentary

  • “We posted record results and delivered another year of meaningful backlog growth… Bookings were especially strong in the second half of 2024 generating a healthy book-to-burn ratio.” – Gary Bowman, CEO .
  • “Gross revenue for the fourth quarter was $113 million… Net revenue… $98.6 million. These results both exceeded consensus estimates… Adjusted EBITDA… was $17 million… reflects in part our labor realignment efforts in the third quarter.” – Bruce Labovitz, CFO .
  • “At year-end, we had… ~$95 million of net debt and a leverage ratio of 1.6… We have plenty of capacity to borrow… to fund strategic growth… We now have $11 million remaining under our current [buyback] authorization… we believe our equity is highly undervalued.” – Bruce Labovitz, CFO .
  • “Transportation, power and utilities and data center demand continues to be robust… We anticipate oil and gas and mining will see significant positive momentum in 2025 and beyond.” – Gary Bowman, CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Transportation/IIJA: IIJA spending “kicking in” with sustained outlook; transportation visibility remains strong across states and local funding .
  • Backlog/Visibility: Backlog profile similar to prior years; ~80% turns in 12 months; limited delays; outsourcing opportunities if agencies cut staff .
  • Tech Investments: New remote sensors, LiDAR+SONAR asset tools, AR/digital twin for utilities; invest opportunistically where revenue/cost synergies justify .
  • Capital Allocation: Integration on track; can pursue M&A and buybacks simultaneously; line of credit being expanded; preference for balanced “and” approach .
  • Data Centers: Expanding to lifecycle/inside-DC services; power capacity is main constraint; AI DCs less latency-sensitive, expanding geographies .
  • Geographic exposure: D.C.-area residential ~10–15% of the residential sub-portfolio; overall low single-digit of total; diversified footprint .

Estimates Context

  • Management stated Q4 revenue and net revenue exceeded consensus; however, S&P Global consensus details for Q4 2024 were unavailable due to data access limits during this analysis .
  • Implication: Given the magnitude of YoY growth and margin inflection in Q4, Street EPS/EBITDA estimates for FY25 likely need upward bias on margin and bookings strength; watch normalization of tax rate and cadence of interest-rate–sensitive subsegments.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Bookings-driven setup: Record backlog ($399M) and >$100M orders early in Q1 support revenue visibility; watch conversion pace, particularly in transportation .
  • Margin trajectory: Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 17.2% in Q4; sustained labor discipline and mix could support mid/high-teens through FY25, with non-GAAP addbacks moderating .
  • Balanced capital deployment: Upsized revolver, repurchases (~$38.5M including post-YE) and M&A pipeline position Bowman for both organic and inorganic growth; buybacks provide downside support .
  • Mix tailwinds: Transportation (IIJA), grid resilience, oil & gas/midstream renewals, and data center infrastructure offset weaker wind and rate-sensitive pockets .
  • Guidance raised: FY25 Net Revenue/Adj. EBITDA targets increased; execution against backlog conversion and tech-enabled cross-sell are key to upside vs. new ranges .
  • Normalization watch: Q4 GAAP EPS benefited from tax items; focus on run-rate margins, cash conversion, and non-cash stock comp trajectory into FY25 .
  • Trading setup: Near-term catalysts include continued order wins, transportation program starts, and incremental buybacks; any acceleration in multifamily/data centers could further de-risk FY25 .

Appendix: Additional Data and Disclosures

  • Non-GAAP reconciliation and Adjusted EPS detail for Q4: Adjusted Diluted EPS $0.71 vs GAAP $0.33; adjustments include acquisition expenses, amortization, pre-IPO stock comp, and other non-core expenses; adjusted tax expense methodology outlined in press materials .
  • Backlog mix at 12/31/24: Building Infrastructure 41%, Transportation 35%, Power & Utilities 15%, Emerging Markets 9% .
  • Stock repurchases: $34.4M in 2024 (avg. $26.56/share), $4.1M post-year-end; ~$11M authorization remaining .

Sources: Q4 2024 8-K press release and exhibits ; Company press release (3/11/25) ; Q4 2024 earnings call (3/12/25) ; Q3 2024 press release/8-K and call ; Q2 2024 press release/8-K and call .