BC
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered record quarterly performance with Gross Contract Revenue of $113.2M (+21.7% YoY), Net Service Billing of $98.6M (+22.5% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA of $17.0M (+51.8% YoY), and Diluted EPS of $0.33, aided by a $5.4M tax benefit; management said quarterly revenue and net revenue exceeded consensus, though SPGI detail was unavailable .
- Backlog ended at a record $399M (+30% YoY), bookings remained strong into Q1 with >$100M new orders through early March; transportation and power/utilities strength offset softer pockets in wind and interest-rate–sensitive subsegments .
- FY25 guidance was raised to Net Revenue $428–$440M and Adjusted EBITDA $70–$76M (from $422–$437M and $68–$75M), reflecting strong bookings and balance sheet capacity (revolver being upsized to $140M) .
- Capital allocation remains balanced across M&A, tech investments, and buybacks; $34.4M repurchased in 2024, plus $4.1M post-year-end with ~$11M authorization remaining; management reiterated belief shares are undervalued near-term catalysts include bookings cadence, margin progression, and buybacks .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Margin/earnings inflection: Adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 17.2% (from 14.0% YoY) with Adjusted EPS (diluted) of $0.71 (vs $0.31), reflecting labor realignment, mix, and a $5.4M tax benefit .
- Bookings/backlog: YE backlog reached $399M (+30% YoY); new orders topped $100M early in Q1, indicating continued demand across markets .
- Strategic positioning: Geospatial (Surdex) expanded cross-sell and incumbency; active pipeline in data centers, grid capacity/resilience, oil & gas and mining; minimal federal disruption; IIJA spending supportive of transportation .
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What Went Wrong
- Interest-rate–sensitive submarkets: Prior quarters saw delays in converting awards to revenue (esp. transportation), and building infrastructure organic growth lagged earlier in 2024; improvement is underway but remains a watch item .
- Tax/GAAP dynamics: Q4 GAAP earnings benefited from a sizable tax benefit ($5.4M) tied to R&D credits/stock vesting/UTP reversals; underlying trend is positive, but normalization is needed for run-rate EPS .
- Segment mix noise: Emerging Markets growth and reclassification plans (breaking out aerial imaging/mapping in 2025) could complicate YoY comparability near term .
Financial Results
Revenue, EPS, margins vs prior quarters and prior year
Segment breakdown (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)
Select KPIs
Notes: Management indicated Q4 revenue and net revenue exceeded consensus; SPGI consensus detail was unavailable due to data access limits .
Guidance Changes
Assumptions: Guidance excludes contributions from future acquisitions not yet closed .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We posted record results and delivered another year of meaningful backlog growth… Bookings were especially strong in the second half of 2024 generating a healthy book-to-burn ratio.” – Gary Bowman, CEO .
- “Gross revenue for the fourth quarter was $113 million… Net revenue… $98.6 million. These results both exceeded consensus estimates… Adjusted EBITDA… was $17 million… reflects in part our labor realignment efforts in the third quarter.” – Bruce Labovitz, CFO .
- “At year-end, we had… ~$95 million of net debt and a leverage ratio of 1.6… We have plenty of capacity to borrow… to fund strategic growth… We now have $11 million remaining under our current [buyback] authorization… we believe our equity is highly undervalued.” – Bruce Labovitz, CFO .
- “Transportation, power and utilities and data center demand continues to be robust… We anticipate oil and gas and mining will see significant positive momentum in 2025 and beyond.” – Gary Bowman, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Transportation/IIJA: IIJA spending “kicking in” with sustained outlook; transportation visibility remains strong across states and local funding .
- Backlog/Visibility: Backlog profile similar to prior years; ~80% turns in 12 months; limited delays; outsourcing opportunities if agencies cut staff .
- Tech Investments: New remote sensors, LiDAR+SONAR asset tools, AR/digital twin for utilities; invest opportunistically where revenue/cost synergies justify .
- Capital Allocation: Integration on track; can pursue M&A and buybacks simultaneously; line of credit being expanded; preference for balanced “and” approach .
- Data Centers: Expanding to lifecycle/inside-DC services; power capacity is main constraint; AI DCs less latency-sensitive, expanding geographies .
- Geographic exposure: D.C.-area residential ~10–15% of the residential sub-portfolio; overall low single-digit of total; diversified footprint .
Estimates Context
- Management stated Q4 revenue and net revenue exceeded consensus; however, S&P Global consensus details for Q4 2024 were unavailable due to data access limits during this analysis .
- Implication: Given the magnitude of YoY growth and margin inflection in Q4, Street EPS/EBITDA estimates for FY25 likely need upward bias on margin and bookings strength; watch normalization of tax rate and cadence of interest-rate–sensitive subsegments.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Bookings-driven setup: Record backlog ($399M) and >$100M orders early in Q1 support revenue visibility; watch conversion pace, particularly in transportation .
- Margin trajectory: Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 17.2% in Q4; sustained labor discipline and mix could support mid/high-teens through FY25, with non-GAAP addbacks moderating .
- Balanced capital deployment: Upsized revolver, repurchases (~$38.5M including post-YE) and M&A pipeline position Bowman for both organic and inorganic growth; buybacks provide downside support .
- Mix tailwinds: Transportation (IIJA), grid resilience, oil & gas/midstream renewals, and data center infrastructure offset weaker wind and rate-sensitive pockets .
- Guidance raised: FY25 Net Revenue/Adj. EBITDA targets increased; execution against backlog conversion and tech-enabled cross-sell are key to upside vs. new ranges .
- Normalization watch: Q4 GAAP EPS benefited from tax items; focus on run-rate margins, cash conversion, and non-cash stock comp trajectory into FY25 .
- Trading setup: Near-term catalysts include continued order wins, transportation program starts, and incremental buybacks; any acceleration in multifamily/data centers could further de-risk FY25 .
Appendix: Additional Data and Disclosures
- Non-GAAP reconciliation and Adjusted EPS detail for Q4: Adjusted Diluted EPS $0.71 vs GAAP $0.33; adjustments include acquisition expenses, amortization, pre-IPO stock comp, and other non-core expenses; adjusted tax expense methodology outlined in press materials .
- Backlog mix at 12/31/24: Building Infrastructure 41%, Transportation 35%, Power & Utilities 15%, Emerging Markets 9% .
- Stock repurchases: $34.4M in 2024 (avg. $26.56/share), $4.1M post-year-end; ~$11M authorization remaining .
Sources: Q4 2024 8-K press release and exhibits ; Company press release (3/11/25) ; Q4 2024 earnings call (3/12/25) ; Q3 2024 press release/8-K and call ; Q2 2024 press release/8-K and call .